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01HollywoodMarcus Hale · News Editor — The Desk

"The Cat in the Hat" Opens Friday With Forecasts Anywhere From $17 Million to $50 Million

Warner Bros.' animated Seuss reboot — Bill Hader as the Cat — is meant to launch a whole Seuss universe. Reviewers are lukewarm, a kaiju opens the same day, and the tracking services cannot agree within $30 million of each other. The weekend will settle it.

A mother and son wearing 3D glasses and sharing popcorn while watching a film in a cinema — family audiences decide 'The Cat in the Hat's' opening weekend on Saturday.
Photo: Atlantic Ambience / Pexels, Pexels License

The Cat in the Hat arrives in theatres on Friday, November 6, and the most honest thing anyone can say about its opening weekend is that the forecasters are $30 million apart. The film carrying that spread is not a one-off, either: it is the first piece of a planned Seuss universe, and its opening sets the price of everything scheduled behind it.

Variety's reporting puts the Warner Bros. animated film at $20 million to $25 million from roughly 4,000 North American theatres. Boxoffice Pro's tracking table, updated October 30, has it at $30 million to $35 million — after the same service's long-range forecast had it at $40 million to $50 million in October. Box Office Theory sits at $25 million to $35 million. One widely shared claim of a $17 million to $22 million opening, against a budget reported near $100 million, is the outlier at the gloomy end. Warner Bros. has not confirmed a budget; /Film estimated $70 million to $90 million based on the animation studio's history.

What Warner Bros. is actually launching

This is the first animated feature version of Dr. Seuss's 1957 book — a different proposition from Universal's 2003 live-action film with Mike Myers, which opened to $38.3 million and is remembered mostly as a warning. The new film, directed by Alessandro Carloni and Erica Rivinoja, gives the Cat (voiced by Bill Hader) a job to save: cheer up two siblings, Gabby (Xochitl Gomez) and Sebastian (Tiago Martinez), who have just moved house with their mother (America Ferrera). Matt Berry and Giancarlo Esposito are also in the cast, and Quinta Brunson has been out front in interviews insisting — correctly — that children still read the book in school.

The stakes are structural. Warner Bros. acquired the Seuss rights in 2018, and this film is designed as the first piece of a shared Seuss universe, with a Thing One and Thing Two spin-off and an Oh, the Places You'll Go! adaptation dated for March 2028. A soft opening doesn't just hurt one film; it reprices the plan.

The two problems: reviews and a kaiju

Reviews landed this week and they are not the rescue the tracking needed: the film sits at 45% on Rotten Tomatoes and 47 on Metacritic from the first wave of critics. Family films can outrun reviews — parents buy the ticket the child asks for — but weak scores remove the benefit of the doubt.

The other problem opens the same day. Godzilla Minus Zero is forecast in a similar range, and at least one forecaster expects the monster to take the weekend at roughly $36 million. Two films chasing the same Friday rarely both hit the top of their ranges.

What to watch this weekend

Three numbers will tell the story by Sunday: the Friday total (which includes Thursday previews and shows whether families turned out on day one), the Saturday jump (family films live or die on Saturday), and the per-theatre average across those ~4,000 locations. If the film lands anywhere in the $30 millions with a strong Saturday, Warner Bros. will call the universe alive. Below $25 million, expect the word "legs" to do a great deal of work in Monday's coverage — ours included, if it comes to that. Our explainer on what an opening-weekend gross actually means is linked below.

Sources

Next in this issue · HollywoodDecember 18 Puts "Avengers: Doomsday" and "Dune: Part Three" on the Same Day. Only One Gets IMAX. →

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